New Delhi: The possible convergence of interest between China, Pakistan, and Bangladesh may result in serious implications for India’s stability and security dynamics, Chief of Defence Staff Gen Anil Chauhan said on Tuesday.
Talking specifically about Beijing-Islamabad collusivity, Gen Chauhan said Pakistan has acquired almost 70 to 80 per cent of its weapons and equipment from China in the last five years. He said Chinese military firms have commercial liabilities in Pakistan.
In an address at a think tank, the CDS, delving into the May 7-10 military conflict between India and Pakistan, said it was perhaps for the first time that two nuclear weapon states were directly engaged in hostilities.
The top military officer said economic distress in the countries in the Indian Ocean region has given “outside powers” to leverage their influence which could create vulnerabilities for India.
“There is a possible convergence of interest we can talk about between China, Pakistan, and Bangladesh that may have implications for India’s stability and security dynamics,” Gen Chauhan said at the event hosted by the Observer Research Foundation.
His comments came as India’s ties with Bangladesh witnessed a sharp downturn after deposed prime minister Sheikh Hasina fled Dhaka and took shelter in India in August last year.
While talking about various aspects of Operation Sindoor, the CDS said further “expansion of space” in conventional operations is possible by taking it to newer domains of warfare like cyber and electromagnetic spheres. Gen Chauhan said there were no unusual activities by the Chinese side along the northern border when India and Pakistan were engaged in the four-day conflict.
“Maybe this is a short conflict. That’s an assumption I can make. But it is a fact that there was no activity along the northern border (by the Chinese militaries),” he said. The top military officer also touched upon the strategic friendship between Pakistan and China.
“In the past five years, Pakistan has acquired almost 70 to 80 per cent of its weapons and equipment from China. That’s a fact. A reasonable assumption would be that Chinese OEMs (original equipment makers) will have commercial liabilities which they have to fulfil and will have people in Pakistan,” he said. The CDS also highlighted how India called out Pakistan’s nuclear bluff.
“India has also said that it will not be deterred by nuclear blackmail. I think Operation Sindoor is the only example of a conflict between two nuclear weapon states,” he said.
Gen Chauhan said there have been hundreds of conflicts around the world ever since nuclear weapons were invented, but it was for the first time that two nuclear weapon states were directly engaged in a conflict. “So Operation Sindoor, in that manner, is slightly unique in itself, and it may hold lessons not only for the subcontinent but for the entire world,” he said.
In this context, he observed that there was a lot of space for conventional operations and cited three fundamental reasons to back his argument. “First is India’s nuclear doctrine, that there’s no first use. I think that gives us strength and that contributes to creating this particular space between us and Pakistan,” he said.
“Second is the way they responded actually. When India went to respond, we destroyed terrorist camps in response to the terror attack as part of a prevention strategy. You may call it revenge, you may call it retribution, but that ought to prevent further attacks.” Gen Chauhan said Pakistan escalated the conflict into a fully conventional kind of a domain.
“The escalation to a conventional domain was in the hands of Pakistan. Thus, it reduces its option to raise the threshold of this nuclear conflict,” he noted. The top military officer said there is still space for expanding conventional operations.
“The fourth evolving military challenge is increasing vulnerabilities to long-range vectors and long-range precision flights. There is currently no foolproof defense mechanism against ballistic missiles, hypersonics, cruise missiles, and large-scale attack by drones or loitering ammunition,” he said.
Talking about the changing dynamics of warfare, Gen Chauhan said India will have to be prepared for both old and new kinds of warfare. “The second evolving challenge from the military perspective is to keep a high degree of operational preparedness, 24/7 and 365 days,” he said.
